Arjun Appadurai argues that our society struggles with a tension between “the ethics of possibility” (of hope,
aspiration, desire) and the “ethics of probability” (of systematized
rationalities, risk management, and cost/benefits). And the ethics of probability is currently crowding out the realm of possibility. In his timely new book (The Future as Cultural Fact), Appadurai calls for a renewed commitment to an ethics of possibility "grounded in the view that a genuinely democratic politics
cannot be based on the avalanche of numbers—about population, poverty, profit,
and predation—that threaten to kill all street-level optimism about life and
the world. Rather it must build on an ethics of possibility, which can offer a
more inclusive platform for improving the planetary quality of life and can
accommodate a plurality of visions of the good life.” (299-300)
Such a perspective opens the door
onto a “positive anthropology.” Anthropology is more comfortable offering critiques than positive alternatives, but the possibility exists to combine our critical proclivities with
non-prescriptive, ethnographically informed positive alternatives that engage
public policy debates. If a society’s
goal is to have folks live meaningful and fulfilled lives—and not just
increase income and consumption at all costs—then we should look to ways to
help folks realize their longer term goals, the moral projects of their lives,
affluence (and its converse, poverty) as seen in all of its multiple
dimensions. This is to advocate studies of economic behavior that
work between the “is” and the “ought” of David Hume’s distinction, between how
the world can be empirically shown to work (the “is”) and how the competing and
diverse value systems that anthropological research documents can be linked to
moral reflection about things might be different (the “ought”).
In Appadurai's words: “we
need to commit ourselves to a partisan position, at least in one regard and
that is to be mediators, facilitators, and promoters of the ethics of
possibility against the ethics of probability.”